Introduction
This report provides an overview of the recent market performance, key economic indicators, and notable stocks in both bullish and bearish situations as of February 25th, 2025.
Key Points
1. Market News
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- GIFT Nifty opened flat, indicating a subdued start for the trading day.
- Indian indices faced continued losses for the 5th consecutive session, marking their lowest close since June 2024.
- Losses were led by declines in IT and metal stocks.
- February is set to conclude with the longest losing streak since November 1996.
- Asian stocks started the day with a risk-off sentiment due to:
- Trump’s restrictions on Chinese investments
- Tariffs on Canada and Mexico
- Nasdaq dropped over 1% due to concerns over AI demand and anticipation of Nvidia’s earnings.
- US Treasury Yields:
- 10-year yield fell to 4.37%
- 2-year yield fell to 4.15%
- US Dollar Index: Continued downtrend at 106.7.
- Oil prices rose due to geopolitical concerns and potential Iraqi crude production increase.
- Gold remained close to record highs amid Federal Reserve rate cut expectations.
- Indian Rupee ended flat at 86.71 per USD.
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2. Technical Analysis
Nifty-50
- Formed a bearish candlestick pattern after a gap-down opening.
- RSI at 29.74 (oversold territory).
- MACD remains negative.
- Key Support Levels: 22,637 | 22,672 | 22,729
- Key Resistance Levels: 22,523 | 22,488 | 22,431
Nifty Bank
- Formed a Dragonfly Doji-like pattern, indicating a potential bullish reversal.
- RSI and MACD showed negative crossover, signaling weakness.
- Key Support Levels: 48,739 | 48,849 | 49,027
- Key Resistance Levels: 48,383 | 48,272 | 48,094
3. Stocks to Watch
Key Bullish Stocks
- NTPC Green Energy: Signed an MoU with Madhya Pradesh Power Generating Company for renewable energy projects.
- Biocon: Launched Yesintek, a biosimilar in the US for Crohn’s Disease, Psoriasis, etc.
- Texmaco Rail: Signed an MoU with Nevomo for high-speed rail solutions.
- ONGC: Investing ₹1,200 crore in ONGC Green for acquiring PTC Energy.
- IREDA: Approved a ₹5,000 crore fund raise via QIP.
- UPL Global Ltd: Investing in Origeo Comercio to expand in Brazil.
- Apollo Pipes: Increased stake in Kisan Mouldings Ltd by 0.5%.
- Nazara Technologies: Acquired 38.57% stake in Funky Monkeys for ₹28.7 crore.
- Nibe: Received 81,809.75 sq. meters land from Maharashtra Industrial Development Corp.
- Cosmo Specialty Chemicals: Launched oil & grease-resistant coatings.
- Electronics Mart India: Opened a new Bajaj Electronics store in Andhra Pradesh.
- Jubilant Pharmova: Aims to double revenue by 2030 with 25% EBITDA margin.
- SBI Life Insurance: Dorababu Daparti appointed as Deputy CEO.
Key Bearish Stocks
- Shree Cement: Received GST demand orders totaling ₹41.10 crore.
- LIC: Received ₹57.3 crore GST demand (includes penalties & interest).
- Manappuram Finance & Chambal Fertilizers: In F&O ban.
4. Sector-wise Analysis (Top Performers)
- NIFTY METAL (+2.10%)
- NIFTY CPSE (+1.80%)
- NIFTY ENERGY (+1.60%)
- NIFTY INDIA TOURISM (+1.40%)
- NIFTY INDIA DEFENCE (+1.40%)
Volume Shockers (Stocks with 1.5x Volume Increase)
- LTIMINDTREE (+6.90%)
- INFO EDGE (+6.10%)
- BAJAJ HOLDINGS (+5.30%)
- 5047 (+5.00%)
- 7151 (+5.00%)
5. Long Build-Up Stocks
- LTIM (+9.60%)
- MFSL (+8.90%)
- APOLLOHOSP (+6.10%)
- MAXHEALTH (+5.90%)
- PRESTIGE (+5.40%)
Short Build-Up Stocks
- EICHERMOT
- TVSMOTOR
- CGPOWER
- GLENMARK
6. FIIs & DIIs Data
- FIIs: Net sellers at ₹6,286.70 crore (24th Feb 2025).
- DIIs: Net buyers at ₹2,884.61 crore (24th Feb 2025).
7. Breakout Pulse Stocks
- BERGEPAINT: ₹502 (+2.36%)
- Stocks showing minor price uptrend (2-5%), high volume, balanced RSI, and aligned with moving averages.
Conclusion
The market is set for a cautious start with mixed signals from international markets and local economic indicators. Investors should continue to monitor key stocks and market indices for potential movements in both bullish and bearish directions, keeping an eye on upcoming economic data and geopolitical events.
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